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Yeah, I think most don't want to go back to shutdown. What scares me is the reopening of larger social activities like schools, group events etc. If case counts stay high, it seems really hard to balance safety measures and infection control. Both too costly and not effective enough. So if the only goal is limit infections and deaths from the virus, then a shutdown makes sense. But it’s a very blunt force tactic that has a lot of repercussions in other areas, so it’s not something to be used lightly. I think they’re hard to justify unless hospitals are clearly going to get overwhelmed, and we’re not quite there yet. We might be in a few weeks, or a few months, but right now I think we’re still at the point where trying masks/testing/tracing as the primary way to fight it still makes sense.
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